Artificial General Intelligence Expected by 2025, Says Singularity.net Founder
Summary:
Ben Goertzel, the founder of Singularity.net and creator of the term Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), anticipates having a basic AGI model operating as early as 2025. In his blueprint, he includes stratagems to safeguard AGI's universal benefit, minimizing corporate or government control. Goertzel largely supports Vitalik Buterin’s defensive acceleration approach to crafting superintelligent AI, which balances progress against potential existential threats. Despite recognizing the risks associated with AGI, Goertzel believes the potential benefits significantly outweigh them.
The creator of the term Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), Ben Goertzel, looks forward to having a basic operating AGI model as soon as next year. In the Beneficial AGI Summit in Panama, Goertzel shared an AGI creation plan that can secure its usability for the common good, keeping it from the tight grips of corporate or government entities. The concept of AGI pictures an AI system capable of completing any cognitive task that humans can perform. In his plan, Goertzel assures the inclusion of a range of AGI algorithms, an open-ended cognitive structure, ethically managed and obtained data, non-centralized infrastructure and governance, using open-source code, and global reach.
As the founder of Singularity.net explained in an interview with Cointelegraph, this plan backs up everything they do in the AI ecosystem of Singularity.net. They aim to create AI systems that can accept any AI approach, hoping even a “12-year-old genius from Tajikistan” is able to make a significant contribution. As former chief scientist at Hanson Robotics, the company responsible for humanoid robot “Sophia”, Goertzel believes that a framework he has been working on, OpenCog Hyperon, could make a landmark breakthrough.
Hyperon, scheduled for an April alpha release, is defined in a collaborative research paper as “a framework for AGI at the human level and beyond” that encapsulates the latest methodologies, software, and notions. Goertzel's software offers a full set of tools to build the initial or “baby AGI”, with the plan to massively scale up the system by the end of the year. He concluded that a simple, early form of AGI, which he referred to as “fetal AGI”, could be ready as early as 2025.
Goertzel concurs with Vitalik Buterin’s theory of defensive acceleration (d/acc) in creating highly intelligent AI, a compromise between the accelerationists preferring fast development due to its advantages, and decelerationists advocating a slower pace given the potential existential threats. He supports accelerating progress with AGI as it is likely the most helpful approach, but he advises against concentrating power over AGI in a single entity.
In his book "The Consciousness Explosion", Goertzel suggests that AGI could revolutionize human life, eliminating the monotony of repetitive work, putting an end to all physical and mental ailments, mitigating the effects of aging, and potentially eradicating involuntary death. Recognizing the high risks associated with AGI, Goertzel argues that these potential benefits outweigh the risks. Risks he mentioned include national development of AGI for national interests, unethical AGI rollouts that increase the wealth gap, significant company lobbying for AGI regulations that favor them, and the remote possibility of AI going haywire. Despite these threats, he maintains we cannot completely predict every outcome, as we are traversing into entirely unknown terrain.
Published At
2/28/2024 3:07:05 AM
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