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ARK Invest Suggests 19.4% Bitcoin Portfolio Allocation Could Skyrocket Value to $2.3M

Algoine News
Summary:
ARK Invest's 2023 annual report emphasizes Bitcoin's historical outperformance versus major assets and suggests a Bitcoin portfolio allocation of up to 19.4% for institutions to optimize risk-adjusted returns. The report also explores Bitcoin’s long-term performance and volatility, noting the benefits for investors with lengthy holding periods. Based on global institutional investments, ARK speculates that a 1% to 19.4% allocation could significantly elevate Bitcoin's value, potentially reaching as high as $2.3 million per coin.
In their 2023 research report, ARK Invest points out Bitcoin's historical outperformance against major assets, suggesting that institutions could allocate as much as 19.4% of their portfolios to Bitcoin for optimal risk-adjusted returns. The annual report, which was released on January 31, discusses a convergence of emerging technologies like blockchain, artificial intelligence, energy storage, and robotics. The section dedicated to Bitcoin portfolio allocation and performance sheds light on its superior performance metrics since inception and over the past three years. The long-term performance data of Bitcoin reveals it has outperformed traditional investment class counterparts. Over the last seven years, Bitcoin has seen an average annualized return of 44% compared to an average of 5.7% for other major assets. The report emphasizes that extended hold periods have yielded benefits for Bitcoin investors, despite the asset's historical volatility and short-term price fluctuations. The report also advocates for portfolio allocations to Bitcoin for those seeking to optimize risk-adjusted returns. According to ARK Invest, the ideal Bitcoin portfolio allocation for 2023 should have been 19.4%. This allocation suggestion marks a significant shift from the last decade. The research points out that since 2015, risk-adjusted returns could have been maximized by assigning an average of 0.5% of assets to Bitcoin in 2015, 4.8% on average in the years following, and as much as 19.4% in 2023 alone. ARK Invest's research also entertains the potential impact on Bitcoin's worth if institutional investments from the global investable asset pool of $250 trillion followed their 19.4% allocation suggestion. If 1% of global assets were invested, Bitcoin would mushroom to $120,000 per coin. If the allocation rose to a 4.8% average, Bitcoin's value could explode to $550,000. Should global institutions follow ARK Invest's 19.4% suggestion, the value of Bitcoin could catapult to a jaw-dropping $2.3 million per coin. Over the years, ARK's Bitcoin allocation suggestions have evolved to now recommend a 19.4% allocation, largely based on its extensive market data research. Previously, the allocation recommendation paralleled the suggestions of other prominent experts such as Ray Dalio and Bill Miller, who supported a 1-2% allocation to Bitcoin. Similarly, in 2021, strategists at JPMorgan suggested a 1% Bitcoin allocation as a buffer against fluctuations in traditional asset classes like stocks, bonds, and commodities.

Published At

2/1/2024 12:50:39 PM

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